President Obama Wins Second Term

Published November 19, 2012
William RutherfordThe market absorbed the news of President Obama’s re-election with a decidedly negative reaction. Both the Dow and the S&P fell more than 2 percent. Still, that was an improvement over 2008, when, on the day after Obama was elected, the Dow and the S&P both dropped more than 5 percent.

Both candidates spent lavishly in what was by far the most expensive race in U.S. history. Obama won a second term as president of the United States, joining a select group. Despite seeming to be disengaged from the campaign, and running on a mixed record with the electorate strongly divided, he won a resounding victory in the all-important Electoral College. The popular vote was closer.

Obama won the election by out-organizing the Republicans. His “ground game” brought the results he needed in turnout and delivered the toss-up states that he needed to win. He received 70 percent of the Hispanic vote, and strong support from women voters.

Mitt Romney suffered from an overlong campaign, with too many brutal primaries, a divided party, and positions that turned away Hispanics and women. Late in the campaign, he seemed dogged by missteps and changed positions.

Romney’s choice of a running mate, meant to appeal to the party’s right wing, brought little benefit. He could have added Sen. Marco Rubio from Florida, or Sen. Robert Portman, a popular Ohioan who regularly wins his elections with more than 70 percent of the vote. Both come from key states that Romney lost by narrow margins.

Democrats also fared well in both House and Senate races, picking up seats and strengthening Obama’s hand. The president, who believes in the […]